The 2024 YR4 meteorite maintained astronomers and astrophysicists from different space agencies around the world in suspense after its discovery on December 27 last year. According to initial reports, he would pass very close to Earth in 2032 and there would be a probability of a collision of 2.3%. In this context, a NASA scientist announced which countries the asteroid would reach.
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David Rankin, NASA's Catalina Sky Survey Engineer, revealed his “death corridor” theory, a track that crosses much of the planet in the middle and that, from his perspective and analysis, would be where the comet would fall.
Although the US agency indicated that the risk of collision is 1 in 43, it still gave the alarm and directed a fraction of its best telescopes to 2024 YR4. Remember that this measure was taken by occupying the “3 ″ level on the Turin risk scale.
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Rankin's calculations suggest that the asteroid would fall into:
- The upper tip of South America.
- Southern Asia.
- The Arabian Sea.
- North Africa.
- The Pacific Ocean.
Rankin noted that the exact place where the star rock would impact would depend on the rotation of the earth at the time of its arrival. He also explained that the approximate speed at which he could go down would be 60,000 kilometers per hour.
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According to the scientist's approach, some of the countries at risk of being targets by 2024 YR4 would be: India, Venezuela, Pakistan, Ecuador, Bangladesh, Ethiopia, Colombia, Sudan and Nigeria. In addition to these speculation, those responsible for tracking the meteorite stressed that “there is no need for panic, as the impact has not yet been confirmed.”
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Among the methods considered by the experts, there are three different variables. They will be put into practice if Cometa's direction does not change until the expected date for a possible impact on December 22, 2032.
Options include sending a nuclear pump, solar lasers or kinetic impactants. The latter would aim to divert the 2024 YR4 course.
The Star Rock will approach in December 2028, before its critical approach four years later. During this time, astronomers will analyze the dimensions and the speed with which it travels. Based on light estimates that reflects, it is believed to have between 40 and 90 meters wide, although this may vary with subsequent observations.
The impact of the meteorite can damage an area of 2,150 square kilometers. This is almost 11 times the size of the city of Buenos Aires. The disaster it would cause would be similar to that of Tunguska, which severely damaged the Siberian forest in 1908.
The next step to clarify and determine the essential characteristics is to observe the comet with the James Webb space telescope during the early days of March 2024 YR4. This will be the crucial moment, as scientists will be able to understand the dimensions and orbit.
NASA emphasized that the choice of that month was deliberate, mainly because conventional telescopes cannot accurately capture the light emanating from the comet.
They also pointed out that in May, the space telescope will focus again on 2024 YR4, as in April it will be lost to the devices installed on Earth. This will serve to study how much your position has changed.