Current estimates range from 40 to 90 meters in diameter. “It is very important that we improve our estimate of size for the 2024 YR4: the danger represented by a 40 -meter asteroid is very different from that of a 90 -meter asteroid,” says ESA.
Astronomers will use the webb Miri instrument to get a much more accurate estimate of asteroid size. This, in turn, will be used by ESA, NASA and other organizations to more confidence the danger and determine any necessary responseexplains the space agency.
The disclosure of the possible shock was made by ESA on January 29th. On its official website, the agency said its planetary defense office is “closely” monitoring asteroid 2024 YR4. “An asteroid of this size impacts the earth on average every few thousand years and can cause serious damage to a region,” the agency says.
According to scientists, the risk of the impact of the asteroid against the earth is small but real. There is “almost 99% probability of [o asteroide] Passing safely through the land, but a possible impact cannot be completely discarded, “the agency says on its site.
ESA also announced the exact date in which 2024 YR4 could clash with our planet. The day indicated by the agency is December 22, 2032. At the moment, it is not possible to make predictions to indicate where the Earth place the impact could happen.
Due to its size and risk detected, the 2024 YR4 fulfills the necessary criteria to activate two specialized groups and approved by the UN. International asteroid Warning Network, IAWN) and the Space Mission Planning Advisory Group, SMPAG) will assist in the 2024 YR4 and elaborate actions Asteroid response such as collaborative missions and strategies for mitigating risks.